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Tuesday, 11 November 2025

Revisiting geoeconomics manoeuvres of Hjalmar Schacht

Financial wizard of both Weimar Republic and Nazi Germany, Hjalmar Schacht was an unorthodox economist in the sense that he used a set of geoeconomics manoeuvres that would raise the eyebrows of his critics, yet performed well during those tough times. Let me revisit his strategy:

1. Adopting the concept of shadow deficit spending is number one in my list. Normally government spending in excess of revenue where funds are sourced from increasing the borrowing limits rather than increasing taxation slabs is termed as deficit public spending. In strategy it becomes a shadow operation when neither the amount spent nor the amount of debt raised are disclosed to the public. Schacht cunningly plotted that the treasury be kept in the dark throughout while he played with these funds for a solo purpose: interest of the then Weimar state and with the ascendancy of Hitler the Nazi admin.

2. Keeping the general level of prices & wages under control at one and the same time. This geoeconomics manoeuvre was so craftily thought over by Schacht. There were two impelling strategic statements by him on this subject:

a) Schacht famously said: “It has been shown that, in contrast to everything which classical national economy has hitherto taught, not the producer but the consumer is the ruling factor in economic life”.

b) He also cited: “Since our economy is closely allied with that of foreign countries, not one of us can be indifferent to what consequences these disturbances can have at home and/or abroad”.

Since Germany had to import a lot and service the war reparation imposed earlier by the allies after First World War simultaneously, forex was a scarce commodity. Keeping wages unchanged and at the same time enhancing demand for products coming out of German factories was a daunting task because there is less liquidity in the market. He managed this task ingenuously by opting for selective distribution of import and export quotas to a coterie of Nazi supporters/sympathisers so that they would keep the ex-factory prices down to the lowest possible.

3. Schacht also implemented geoeconomics manoeuvres such as selective debt defaults especially for the ones sourced from less powerful European states such as Netherlands and pay debts promptly to England & France.

4. Yet another strategy manoeuvre was granting export subsidies to manufacturers who are not competing with powerful countries such as England & France but lesser powered countries in the European landmass.

5. However, Schacht understood that none of these manoeuvres would succeed unless it is backed by central authority in Berlin. Hence Schacht declared his allegiance to the Fuehrer thus:

“Instead of a weak and vacillating Government, a single, purposeful, energetic personality is ruling Germany today. German future lies in the hands of our Fuehrer”.

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist

 


Monday, 10 November 2025

Macht Deutschland Wieder Großartig = Make Germany Great Again

Let me look at the Geoeconomics play of Germany before WWII and at present time as leader of the European Union and suggest why Making Germany Great Again is not only a slogan but a viral creed:

Before the WWII, the German nation was the talk of the town in European capitals. Her geoeconomics framework ran on a single theme. “Ein Volk Ein Reich” meaning “one people and one nation’. Underlying this battle cry is the logic prevailing at that time: Germany was poor in resources and rich in manpower. Adolf Hitler set in motion a geoeconomics framework where self-sufficiency termed as “Autarky” was centrepiece heralding huge capital investment to boost domestic production via obtaining resources from abroad firstly in commercial terms later by capturing parts of Eastern Europe that supplied these resources.

Yet another feat was the concept of “Lebensraum” meaning ‘living space’, implying that the locations of resource are considered part of the Deutschland.

Goering masterminded consecutive four year plans wherein privatization was not totally shunned out but more emphasis placed in state sponsored institutions to undertake development efforts. As per financing issue of treasury notes called “Mefo Bills” was a preferred vehicle in place of heavy taxation and unfettered printing of currency that would have led to creeping inflation.

Today, German economy in shamble and her geoeconomics clout was wanting. Innovation & digitalization that ensures market acceptance also required the price level to be kept competitive. That failed as Chinese cheap goods rattled German industry. What was required as a blend of private enterprise, financial capital and human capital was enslaved to central bureaucracy in Brussels, over-regulation in terms of social welfare leading towards bleeding of economy. Moreover, debt to gdp ratio is over 60% much higher in the present context. And the energy security by way of cheap oil is a thing of past

Ostensibly, one would blame anything and everything in terms of economic management within and geoeconomics management without. But the stark fact remains none of the flimsy reasons German authorities are blurting out are of no substance. Then what are the reasons for the collapse of Germany today?

My submission

Under Fuhrer Germans ran Germany. Today the Globo Capitalists based across the Atlantic run Germany. Then German race was united as steely arms. Today, the Globo Capitalists do not want a united Germany at all. So Making Germany Great Again is the only solution at hand today!

Send your comments.

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist

 

Thursday, 6 November 2025

Why US should not fight tech war with China?

Recent spat between America & China over export restrictions over US chips to Chinese manufacturers was not an isolated incident. For some time China is copying and thereafter mass producing tech stuff. No More. China has emerged as a peer competitor in chip manufacture. 

Facts and Figures

1. China has increased its industrial robot fleet to 295,000 compared with 34,000 in the US and 2,500 in the UK.

2. Chinese cars surpass western ones in blending three critical aspects of mv production: quality, technology and cost. Now this has been transited to electric vehicles where the critical component has been identified as the battery for which neither EU nor US has an equivalent product.

3. China's electricity consumption increased 5% YoY to more than one trillion kilowatt hour where the quantum used by industries compared to domestic consumption has doubled to 10% YoY. In fact, according to IEA report overall electricity consumption in China is greater than that of the combined consumption of EU, US and India.

4. China holds an unshakable lead in manufacturing especially in high-tech where scalability in processing has led to mass production of items at affordable price to cost ratio making Chinese products much sought after globally.   

5. Turn out of STEM Graduates from China tops the list with 3.57 million, India 2.55 million whereas USA has only 820,000. Within STEM there are large number of engineers and computer scientists who are the bedrock of tech progress of Chinese enterprises.

6. As regards to critical technology such as batteries for both petrol driven and electric cars China beats both EU & US hands down. Besides the roll-out of 5G infrastructure in mobile communication as well as large strides achieved in quantum computing allow China to have a better say in tech war now and in the near future. 

7. To cap it all comes the unveiling of the chip war. Both Biden Presidency and now Donald Trump have unofficially declared chip war against China. Nvidia which boasts the ultra-modern AI chip hardware such as H100 and many others had the biggest market for her products in China where tech companies such as Alibaba & Ten cent used these chips in their work processing. At present Nvidia has almost 90% of the global AI Chip market.

Result

US led chip war prompted Huawei to counter it in one shot. Doubling her output of AI Chips, Huawei helped China to pivot away from American chips on one hand and started to develop indigenous AI ecosystem within China on the other. For all intents and purposes China was the biggest market for Nvidia. Huawei need not compete in the global market against Nvidia. She can simply produce latest AI chips for China alone and survive on the top slot.

My submission

Navigating business strategy amid geoeconomics mandates that US abolishes all export restrictions over Chip exports to China lest Nvidia with 3 Trillion USD market capitalization erodes her position as the Number one manufacturer of AI chips. Moreover, tech war is much worse than nuclear war. In the latter it is mutually assured destruction (MAD). In tech war only one party that would bite the dust. Your guess is as good as mine!

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist