Boiling frog manoeuvre, brief outlline

Military strategy of ‘boiling frog manoeuvre’ has been executed in the known history many a times. Mongols were the masters of this manoeuvre which they adopted effectively during the battle for Baghdad in 1258 A.D by sieging the city completely and making life miserable for the dwellers of Baghdad.

Transcending from military to geoeconomics, boiling frog has been carried out by America against the Soviet Union with good result. It is pertinent to mention that Soviet Union collapsed on the Christmas day in 1991 not due to any military weakness but due to the geoeconomics burden imposed upon her by the West.

Fast forward in 24 February 2022, when Russia commenced her special military operations against Ukraine, America led West decided to make a repeat performance of boiling frog 2.0. But this time there was a terrible miscalculation on the part of the West.

Let me say few words about the boiling frog manoeuvre. This is all about placing a frog in a vessel with cold water and boil it slowly so that the frog does not know what is happening around it. Perhaps it is thankful for the guys who put it in warm water to have little fun. Gradually and slowly water getting hot being not  felt by the frog until such time it is heated to death.

Vladimir Putin like the Peter the Great is well versed in the way Europe behaves in industry & commerce. Expecting how the West would act, he has made prior arrangements to move his industrial and commercial trade towards East to Asia and towards South to Persia and Mid-East and further deep into Africa and Latin America.

As the West tightened the grip over geoeconomics side with sanctions, shutting out Russia from international financial medium, barring her to use US Dollar and further mounting diplomatic measures culminating in getting a warrant for arrest issued by International Criminal Court, the expectation in the Western camp was to secure strategic defeat of Russia by using boiling frog method.

Let me go back to the boiling frog manoeuvre. Observers of this manoeuvre have found out that the proverbial frog in this connection could easily sense the change in temperature and try to get out from the vessel by jumping out. Remember, in boiling one cannot keep a lid closed over the vessel.

Since Putin has already had counter measures in operation, the Western manoeuvre failed to reach its purpose. The boiling frog in geoeconomics boomeranged on America and the West who are now undergoing the similar fate of being boiled as frogs!

Lesson: Geoeconomics is a two way sword!

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist