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Friday 6 May 2022

Ukraine war, why Putin went in?

Special military operation  in Ukraine began in earnest on February 24 this year. Putin chose to go into mil operation as there was no other choice. Had he hesitated he would have been checkmated by US led NATO. More than that crowd in Kremlin Square would be calling for his head. Read more for my take on this explosive finding: 

NATO was totally in fault when it reneged its contract of “not an inch towards east”. In Roman law there is a maxim: “pacta sunt servanda” meaning “agreement must be kept”. This is the oldest principle of international relationship that was adhered to by every nation. NATO’s appetite for expansion has never been satisfied neither it is ready to honour any undertaking.

Russia for its horror saw the border is coming towards her in multiple direction. The colour revolution in Ukraine known as “Maidan revolution” of 2014 was a body blow to Russia. The existing status-quo was shattered like a thin glass. Even though Bucharest summit welcomed Ukraine and Georgia as members, America did not actively proceeded in this matter. This time around the writing on the wall is clear. Ukrainian neutrality melted away so did the status quo ante.

Consequent to Maidan revolution, leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts declared self-rule after obtaining support in the voting for that. The Crimean annexation by Russia and the desire for the people of the Eastern Ukraine especially in the Donetsk region for self-government led to internal warfare. For the last eight years the shimmering tension between Central government of Ukraine and the separatists in the East, who are mainly Russian speakers has blown into full scale conflict.

Waiting for the right time American led NATO pumped money, arms, military advice into the Ukr government. On the insistence of the West, Kiev agreed to absorb rightist warriors who are bent upon wiping out ethnic minorities, into the National Guard who were authorised to commit atrocities in Donetsk. Although Minsk Accords I & II were signed amongst the parties allowing self-rule for the east. This time it was Ukr prodded on by America that violated pacta sunt servnada.

In the meantime discontentment was growing inside Russia that Putin calling for peace whereas America led NATO instigating war. As a result it is the Russians in Ukr who are made to suffer. Putin has got to do something to save himself and the innocent Russians living in the rebel regions in the eastern part of Ukr. As a master in maskirovka strategy he was biding time for the right moment to execute his war strategy, which appeared when the two babies Donetsk and Lugansk declared independence that was recognised by Russia promptly. The stage was set for special operations which indeed followed suit.

 

Cheers!

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail:   cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist

 

 

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