China is damned lucky to get the strongest and best possible hand in the Afghan poker game. Called, Royal Flush, this is when a player gets cards in a standard five card game namely, ace, king, queen, jack and 10 all from the same suit. Taliban led Afghan is giving this royal flush to China. Here are the details:
Ace: China is ready to give a blank cheque where details could be filled in by Taliban. Whereas with Iran China negotiated 25 years US$ 400 billion deal, Afghan is going to get the largesse may be the double the amount but for a lesser duration. Not to forget the Afghan sits over approximately US$ 3 to 4 Trillion worth mineral and other resources. Mes Aynak Mine alone has the largest virgin copper deposit in the globe. China has already won the bid. Details to be worked out with Taliban to take it to logical conclusion.
King: Providing the sought after but alluding legitimacy that Taliban desperately wants but has become a bargain issue with the America led West. China accelerates the process of granting legitimacy, initially recognising Afghan sovereignty and giving assurance regarding non-interference in internal affairs of the country. Functioning as a bulwark for Afghan peace & development China has the wherewithal to stand with Afghan in the international forum and afford her diplomatic cover in case other countries try to impose sanctions via UNSC and other global institutions such as WTO.
Queen: China gives access to Taliban on global setting where trade, finance and investment in geoeconomics are facilitated. Doha apart, China can arrange for seamless trade taking place to and fro Afghan via conduits like Pakistan & Iran, not to mention China itself and the adjoining Central Asian Countries. People’s Bank of China could also function as clearing & reserve bank in case Afghan institutions are firewalled by any sanctions. China led Asian Infrastructure Investment bank could also provide safety margin if finance from the West dries up.
Jack: Peace & prosperity is the jack of everything in Geoeconomics power structure. Clear pathway to peace is the Afghan led & Afghan participated programme that has the potential to reconcile conflicting ideas and ethnic diversity towards national awakening. The good part in doing this can be played by an honest broker. In the Afghan horizon there is no country other than China who could fill this challenging slot. When peace breaks out in every nook and cranny of Afghan it is the prosperity which follows in earnest. A good handshake is to extend the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) to Afghan as well. In principle, both Pakistan & China had agreed to do this. Now it is a matter of details for connecting the wires.
10: Security vacuum is unsurmountable threat facing war torn Afghan in the post withdrawal phase. Already the alliance partners who invaded Afghan are talking about “over the horizon military manoeuvres” to push back any semblance of law & order taking root in Afghan. China is well-positioned to turn the table on these enemies in the shadow by offering membership in Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). That is one thing.
The other is for China to canvas for full membership for Afghan in Russia led Collective Treaty Security Organization (CSTO. Incidentally at present Afghan is an observer state and elevating her as full member is a matter of course. Tajikistan is a participating member in CSTO and Tajiks form an important ethnic community in Afghan fibre and are fairly restless too. Tajiks are itching to play the role of spoiler; CSTO would put paid to this.
Cheers!
Muthu
Ashraff Rajulu
Business Strategist
Mobile: + 94 777 265677
E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com
Blog: Business Strategist
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