Russia failing, Ukraine succeeding howzat?

Antony Blinken U S Secretary of State is grandstanding: “When it comes to Russia's war aims, Russia is failing, Ukraine is succeeding”. Let me use the exclamation “howzat”, often heard in the cricket ground when extra ordinary strokes are being played.  War is much more than game of cricket anyway as ground in Ukraine is shaking with Russian bombardment. Have a look!

Russians are in the long game not for short term profit or popularity. Putin understands the Sun Tzu theorem “Success in warfare is gained by carefully accommodating ourselves to the enemy's purpose”. He knows how to take into account the enemy concerns, utterings, actions and the gist of their thinking before making his strategy! 

USA, on the other hand understands only the periphery. It has expendable weapons and ammunitions that are yet to be sold to unwilling buyers. Dumping these munitions on Ukraine soil is one way of getting rid of obsolete stuff. But the overall picture of this largesse is mind boggling. For the last one year alone America dispensed a colossal 10 billion US$ as arms and assistance to Ukraine. Military supplies top the list at 3.5 billion US$. Deployment of military assets close to the war zone along with dedicated provision of intelligence sums up to 3 Billion US$  while foreign aid in the normal course of business  is estimated to be around 3 to 4 Billion US$.

The big question is what return America getting for her taxpayers money squandered this way. Those in the loop know that Ukraine is a losing project. Yet America wishes to prolong the war till the last Ukrainian alive. The good part, possibly is that most sophisticated weapons are falling on the hands of Russians through Ukrainian double crossing. True enough quite some supply reaches the Azov Battalion in Kharkov and other cities still under UKR flag. Most of these are getting knocked off just before being distributed.

Having completed partial paralyzing of the railway and roads network Russians were able to stop the follow of arms from the neighbouring countries into Ukraine. Whatever arms that slipped thorough are in transit via remaining railways and airports connecting western part of Ukraine to the eastern Donbass region. Hence the second phase of operation dictates that all remaining road & railway network be obliterated. Once these rail & road networks are rendered unusable the west has to resort to supply by airdrop something they did for West Germany during Cold War.

Russian juggernaut is moving regardless. Villages & cities are falling like cookies. Kherson to Odessa, a distance of 202 km is systematically being brought under control. Evidently, Kherson oblast with an area of 28,461 km is vital to conduct operations in the southern theatre. Doing so, Mykolaiv oblast with an area of 24,000 km is just a low hanging fruit.

 

Cheers! 

 

Muthu Ashraff Rajulu

Business Strategist

Mobile: + 94 777 265677

E-mail:   cosmicgems@gmail.com

Blog:   Business Strategist