On February 2022, Putin announced the beginning of Special Military Operations in Ukraine and later in March 2024 he has recalibrated and launched Counter Terrorism Operations. Only the narrative got shifted. But the goals remained with the scale & scope of them being much enlarged. What is behind this strategy?
The invasion into Ukraine launched on the February 24, 2022 is the largest in Europe since the World War II. More than 150,000 Russian soldiers began hostilities under the hubris of ‘special military operations’ (SMO) with a stated objective of defending Russian-speaking territories in eastern Ukraine, namely Donetsk & Luhansk oblasts, under Article 51 of the United Nations Charter. His goals were demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine. After more than two years into operation major parts of these oblasts fell into Russian hands.
Citing the Crocus City Hall attack purposefully claimed to have been carried out by ISIS on March 28 2024 which was later traced onto Ukrainian Intelligence Apparatus, and acting under legality of The United Nations Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy adopted by General Assembly resolution 60/288 in 2006 Putin recalibrated the running of current SMO as Counter Terrorism Operations (CTO). Here the stated objectives differ widely.
Taking actions aimed at prevention, detection and suspension of terrorist activity emanating from the soil of Ukraine or sponsored by her but operationalized from international level is prioritised. Moreover a gamut of military moves, tactics, techniques, and strategies are systematically being executed to punish proven perpetrators of crime against humanity in general and the civilian population of Novorossiya. Incidentally most part of Eastern Ukraine is dubbed as Novorossiya including several oblasts spread across the land of Ukraine.
That is only one side of the story. The real stuff, however underpins geoeconomics imperatives. When the SMO began in earnest in February 2022 the unstated goal was to make Ukraine a land-locked state without access to the Black Sea. The present CTO casts the net much wider. Destroying the economic back-bone is clearly evident. Land based and aerial attacks are mounted against power plants both coal fired and electricity generated, critical irrigation architecture and storage tanks that are used for fuel & gas meant to be supplied to both domestic users in Ukraine and pumped outside to users in eastern and northern Europe.
While the meat grinding military strategy can look after the men & materials thrown into the battlefield by Ukrainian army the geoeconomics strategy is focussed on denying the use of power & electricity within Ukraine so that de-population of the areas east of Dnieper River accelerates. Besides with the drying of wet soil in the early spring, Russia can bulldoze the remnants of Ukrainian army out of most parts of Northern, Central and Southern Ukraine including Odessa, Kharkov and Zaporizhzhia. By the way Zaporizhzhian nuclear power plant is already in Russian hands.
A decapitating exercise is well under way, this time not only the men but the geoeconomics clout, hitherto enjoyed by Ukraine in terms of food such as corn wheat and seed oils and steel for heavy duty manufacture.
Cheers!
Muthu Ashraff Rajulu
Business Strategist
Mobile: + 94 777 265677
E-mail: cosmicgems@gmail.com
Blog: Business Strategist
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